What up ya’ll – I went 2-1 last week, thanks to my Redskins, and have slightly improved my gaudy record to 12-14 (down 3.4 units) on the year. We’re back to a full slate of NFL games this week (and a full Saturday of college basketball and football – nice). I’d like to give a little shout out to the Cuse, as they looked awfully impressive in beating down #12 Cal last night playing at the Garden. I’m looking forward to tonight’s match up – I’m not exactly sure what kind of UNC team they have this year, but I like the Orange’s chances and what a way to start off the year by beating the defending National Champions. Let’s go boys!
Week 11 in the NFL gives us a lot of teams that are heavy favorites to beat up on their opponents. In all, 8 of the 15 matchups remaining on the slate have the teams favored by 9 or more points. That’s retarded. Should be an easy week for all you still left in last man standing pools. My favorite game this week (outside Washington @ Dallas) is Indy @ Baltimore. Obviously everyone is aware of Indy’s late magic last week to remain undefeated. Peyton is performing like always and has Indy looking as a threat to get back to the Superbowl. Baltimore is in a must win scenario. The AFC playoff picture (as always) is shaping up to be competitive as advertised. It looks as though it’s going to take at least 10 wins to make the playoffs (and probably someone with 10 wins will be sent home). So for Baltimore, it’s time to defend their home turf and play 60 minutes of football – Should be the best game of the weekend.
Scenario: Say you meet a girl at a bar one weekend and get her #. You text her the following day and you ask her out to “dinner and drinks” on, lets say a Wednesday, and she says yes. You go out to dinner, have some drinks, then drive back to her place. She invites you in, you oblige and prepare for an exciting evening. You decide to sleepover (on the road) and elect to call in to work the next morning (together) to take the day off. Yes you might work for the same employer. You hang out together all morning, all day and yes, amazingly all night. You’ve already exceeded hanging out for 24 straight hours on your first date, but you decide “hey, I’m having so much fun and I’m in love, let’s do it again.” So you cuddle up, watch a movie and sleep over for a second consecutive night (on the road and you haven’t left to change clothes, underwear or possibly brush teeth). You wake up in the morning, realize you can’t call in to work for a second straight day so you leave, go home, get ready and finally head to work. You feel in love.
My question: Is this acceptable behavior on a first date? If so, why? If not, I agree… but explain.
I’m not saying this happened this to someone that I know this week – But I’m 100% not denying it didn’t.
Moving on… As always, I use Danny Sheridan’s odds from USA today.
POW #1: Arizona @ St. Louis Over 46.5
- I’m just going to throw some stats out: Arizona 22nd overall team D (7th against run/30th against pass) and St. Louis 28th overall team D (28th against run/26th against pass). The Rams give up on average 28 points a game and the Cardinals give up almost 21. I see Kurt Warner having a huge day against his old team, on turf in the Edward Jones Dome. St. Louis as of last has shown they are capable of scoring points. S. Jax looks like the beast of old and has been punishing opposition. I wouldn’t be surprised if there was special teams or defense touchdown in this game (hopefully 2). 4 of the last 5 meetings these two teams have faced each other exceeded the posted total. The key in this game is St. Louis getting “theirs.” Arizona on the road this year has let up 17,3,17, 21 respectively. I think the Rams need to score 14 for this total to go over and I see it happening.
Prediction: Arizona 37 – St. Louis 17
POW #2: Arizona -9 @ St. Louis
- I touched on bunch of stats in the previous POW. I’ll give you this now. Arizona is 4-0 ATS on the road this year. St. Louis (underdog in every game) is 4-5 ATS overall and more importantly 1-3 ATS as home underdog with the one cover coming last week against New Orleans. Like I said earlier, I see Kurt Warner having a big day here. Who wouldn’t love to go back to their old stomping ground and beat up on their ex-team… Brett Farve sure does and so too does Kurt. I think Arizona badly wants to break that trend of losers in Superbowls not making playoffs following year. Fortunately for them, their division is terrible. Cardinals continue winning on the road…
Prediction: Arizona 37 – St. Louis 17
Bills Pick: Buffalo +9 @ Jacksonville
- Not a ton of insight or thought from me on this one… There will be a lot of yards piled up by both teams. I think the Bills will matchup nicely with the Jags. Obviously the Bills need to stop MJD – And I think they limit him this week (as in he won’t go off for 150+ haha). I just have a feeling the Bills play for their new coach…
Prediction: Buffalo 24 – Jacksonville 23 (What?!?!?)
Have a great weekend everyone!!